BCMoore Rankings - NCAA Football
C = conference
* = game played against a conference opponent
D = district
* = game played against a district opponent
Stren = rating of individual game played by team, standard regression
O = overtime
Resid = measure of team performance versus expectation.
Negative Resid = team played below expectations.
Positive Resid = team played above expectations.
M = modifications:
X = game is excluded from pre-regression data set.
* = game is excluded when developing post-regression Mod score.
pre-game predict = prediction is based on information known before the game is played.
current predict = prediction is based on current information.
Team Stdev = measure of variability of the team based on Stren scores.
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Tennessee St
Class: 1B Class Rank: 76 Overall: (2-5) Overall Strength = 110.83
Conference: Ohio Valley Conference Record: (0-2) | District: 1B-01 Record: (2-4)
pre-game current
N Date Location C D Stren Pts Opp O Cl Rnk (W-L) Opponent Resid M Predict Predict
1 08-29-2026 Home L * 114.60 24 26 1B 66 (6-1) Jackson St 2.51 -6.67 -4.51
2 09-05-2026 Away L 119.68 3 63 1A 5 (6-1) Georgia 7.59 * -36.06 -67.59
3 09-12-2026 Away L * 95.32 3 30 1B 30 (6-2) Alabama A&M -16.77 11.10 -10.23
4 09-19-2026 Away W * 112.83 29 26 1B 95 (2-5) Florida A&M 0.74 -12.31 2.26
5 10-03-2026 Away L * * 120.87 21 28 1B 57 (3-4) Western Illinois 8.78 -14.89 -15.78
6 10-10-2026 Home L * * 105.31 28 42 1B 43 (3-4) Tennessee-Martin -6.79 -4.90 -7.21
7 10-17-2026 Home W * 116.03 25 16 1B 64 (5-2) Morgan St 3.94 -6.44 5.06
8 10/24/2026 Home * * 1B 37 (3-4) Charleston Southern -9.89
9 10/31/2026 Away * * 1B 68 (2-4) Lindenwood -6.11
10 11/07/2026 Home * * 1B 21 (4-3) SE Missouri St -14.74
11 11/14/2026 Home * * 1B 59 (2-5) Eastern Illinois -3.68
12 11/21/2026 Away * * 1B 56 (2-6) Gardner-Webb -9.54
Averages 112.09 19.0 33.0
Best game: 120.87 = 7 point loss to Western Illinois
Worst game: 95.32 = 27 point loss to Alabama A&M
Team stdev: 8.98